Author: Julian Bethell

life-cycles in our area

Life cycle profile is a useful indicator of the complexion of residents in a locality. Some areas, like inner cities and built-up areas, have lots of young single people who live in flat shares or alone. Most of the suburban parts of the country are filled up with families. Some parts have a large elderly population, particularly around the coast.

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Prices by type in the last few years

The average unweighted sold prices of houses and flats have generally seen a steady incline over the last eight years. It’ll come as no massive surprise the houses are typically more expensive than flats but, the movements over time are nonetheless telling.

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How commuting patterns are helping the local property market

How often we commute to the office and how long it takes each day has major implications on where we all choose to live. While the ever-increasing use of technology has made it easier to work from home, most people living in Britain still take part in the ‘daily grind’, with a staggering three-million commuters now spending more than two hours to get to work.

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Industry of occupation

The profile of jobs is an important yardstick for the makeup of people in a housing market. In this analysis we’ve used data from the Office for National Statistics on the number of people in the local area who work in each industry. The categories are a bit vague but if you look at the longest bars, you can see a pretty good profile of our area.

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Monthly prices by property type

The data for our area over the last five months reveals interesting fluctuations across property types. The last 3 months are coloured with stripes. This is because the data is still coming in so we’ve estimated what we think they will be when all the data is available.

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A quarterly index of sales levels

This chart shows how sales levels in the local area sit now compared with two years ago. The analysis indexes types of property so they start at the same point (100) so you can easily see how they’ve moved in relation to each other. The chart shows the quarter-on-quarter fluctuations typical of local analysis, it also shows how the market has been affected by seasonal change.

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How often do people move property in the local area?

More than six-million people move home every year according to national census figures. These numbers reveal we are changing homes at a faster rate than ever before with people in the southern half of the country the most frequent movers. Conversely, those living in the North East, North West and Wales move home less frequently than anyone else in the UK.

The average lifespan of a British person is now 81.5 years; during this lifespan people will move home about six times. With 14 years, the South West leads the way for the shortest amount of time people live at one property while the longest amount of time people stay at their properties is in Wales where the average is 23 years.

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Local property prices vs region & country

It is hard to gauge actual property price movements without having something to compare them against. The chart shows the price differences in our area compared to the wider region and the rest of England and Wales for the last eight years.

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Monthly sales rate by main house type

This chart takes a look at how sales levels have evolved over the last eight months in the local area. It should be noted that we’re looking at a relatively tight area over short periods of time, which is why there is a lot of volatility in the figures. The patterns however, are very revealing and show how seasonality affects the dynamics of the market.

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What does the future hold for house prices in The Heatons?

There have probably never been more factors at play in the UK property market than there are right now. The national market is pausing for breath as it reaches the end of the cycle which started with the credit crunch. 2016 saw stamp duty changes as well as the Brexit vote, and the impact is very much still being felt. The result of the election has added to the uncertainty surrounding the economy.

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